were about the overturning of Roe v. Wade and the growing conservatism of the Supreme Court; mins. Walter told the Observer: By the 2020 elections, 90% of the Republican party was now white. It's possible to be alarmed by Trump's behind-the-scenes attempts to overturn the election and right-wing authoritarian movements whose increasingly violent antigovernmental arguments are becoming more mainstream in the Republican Party without hitting the panic button. Noting that such a division doesn't "doom" the country, Schaffer observes that interstate migration currently means nominal changes such as "marginally different tax rates," but "if the ruling takes place along the lines of Justice Samuel Alitos draft, there immediately will be an enormous practical difference between living in most red states and most blue ones. One thing I do is to actively think with different people. [22], Polling data demonstrates growing pessimism among Americans who view the future of their country at risk of civil war. This is the second most common civil war. These shootings were lone wolf attacks who typically targeted political opponents, ethnic or religious groups and critical infrastructure. Mason theorized that if a Republican state legislature rejects the results of a future election it could have a snowball effect. We got a glimpse of how for just a moment when the cruelty of Officer Fanones assailants on the Capitol steps got interrupted by a wave of momentary compassion. Stringer asserted that the political climate after the 2016 election was similar to the climate preceding the American Civil War, stating: "When Lincoln was elected in 1860, the defenders of slavery concluded that their time had run out. The two Republicans on the House of Representatives select committee investigating the 6 January attack, Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger, face calls to be banished from their party. The secret is to mass spam militia. The real way to make America great again is to clean up the information space and make it shared (a return to broadcasting over narrowcasting). These stories would later become The Divided States. Concerns about a civil war rose dramatically after the first impeachment trial of Donald Trump, and it continued to grow due to political turmoil. In a conflict like this, no one wins. They absolutely slaughter militias, so make sure to get them. Following the violent pro-Trump attack on the U.S. Capitol in 2021, an increasing number of political scientists, journalists, historians, intelligence officials, military leaders, former U.S. generals,[10][11] investors,[12][13] political leaders on both sides of the political divide began to raise growing concern that the United States might break into civil war. A left-wing Syndicalist revolution has collapsed Federal authority. Sleep well." The AUS is also considerably more powerful, so much so that it's not as easy as it seems. [136] Trump later denied any intention of invoking the act. It would look more like Northern Ireland and what Britain experienced, where its more of an insurgency, Walter continued. Don't underestimate them! They too would have been hardly human had they done otherwise. (modern). Chicago and Washington have fallen. When those who surround potentially violent individualstheir friends, family members, coworkers, even fellow protestorsawaken to draw a line against moral disengagement, violence and cruelty. It works suprisingly well. In each sphere, knowledge is increasingly untethered to reality or history. [266] Some Congressional leaders characterized Biden as a dictator similar to Adolf Hitler. A retired general foiled it", "Author Keith Boykin: 'America Is In A Cold Civil War', "Former White House Russia expert Fiona Hill warns the U.S. is on a path to autocracy", "UC San Diego Political Scientist Warns Of A Second Civil War After Capitol Riot", "Eddie Glaude on the moment the 'cold civil war' turned hot", "Fiona Hill: A Trump Victory In 2024 Will Be Seen As "Illegitimate," Could Start An "Open Civil War", "Opinion | Casual talk of the U.S. being on the brink of a civil war after Jan. 6 is absurd", "Retired Gen. on CNN Says Military Has 'Threat Within' for 2024, Warns 'Stop Listening to the Pillow Guy and Start Learning', "The Rise of Political Violence in the United States", "A Milestone En Route to a Majority Minority Nation", "Opinion | We're Edging Closer to Civil War", "Is the US really heading for a second civil war? [61] The individuals involved all denied the existence of a plot. Economist Umair Haque, for example, has argued that primary victories for Trump-endorsed candidates during the 2022 midterm elections demonstrate that the Trump wing of the Republican party has moved from a "neo-fascist rabble" to "an organized, sophisticated authoritarian-fascist political bloc" that ensures future "far more effective" coup attempts that could trigger civil war and split the U.S. military into warring factions. That Classified Material Had Been Returned", "Trump warns 'terrible things are going to happen' if the country's temperature isn't cooled", "Trump sent cryptic message to Merrick Garland before warrant was unsealed: 'The country is on fire. In Americas case, it is a backlash from a white majority destined to become a minority by around 2045, an eclipse symbolized by Barack Obamas election in 2008. Without a real unifying cause to fight for or against (such as slavery), Harris concludes that the political environment is akin to a "national crack-up," adding: "it's hard to have a real civil war without a real cause. Journalist Robert Evans, who investigates global conflict and online extremism for Bellingcat, has also warned that a civil war is imminent. Skeptics claim that the occurrence of a civil war in the modern U.S. is essentially impossible due to certain present day conditions, including: They claim that popular discussion about war is alarmist, fearmongering, polarizing, a "failure of historical perspective," and detracts from other real problems facing the nation (such as democratic backsliding and voter suppression). [72], Retired U.S. Army Col. and Iraq War veteran Peter Mansoor states such a scenario is plausible. [483] Conservative author Steven F. Hayward echoed this sentiment, stating that the Democratic Party is exaggerating the fear of a civil war as a political attack against conservatives, claiming: "If a new civil war does come, it will be on account of the intransigence of the same party that started the first one. For that, you need a third element: a shift from tribalism to sectarianism. [432] The University of West Virginia's Center For Politics found that roughly 41% of Biden voters and 52% of Trump voters at least somewhat supported splitting the country from the union into liberal and conservative states. After that, you will get a proposal from Reed and his gang. [307], A proliferation of conspiracy theories involving domestic actors, like the deep state, the great replacement, and the QAnon movement, have been argued as factors that could spark a civil war. [260] MSNBC journalist Tiffany Cross stated a civil war "may have already begun" in response to the speech. In any case, after the focus is done the bill will pass EVERY TIME with this setup. ", Early in the committee's gathering of testimony most major news media dismissed the plot, with a New York Times editorial characterizing it as a "gigantic hoax". When political conversations begin with confrontation, with debate, they usually escalate quickly and become hard to walk back. At the federal level, the autocrats are storming government buildings from without rather than commanding them from within. [472], Walter summarizes her interpretation of the data by stating: "if you were an analyst in a foreign country looking at events in America the same way you'd look at events in Ukraine or Ivory Coast or Venezuela you would go down a checklist" and "what you would find is that the United States has entered very dangerous territory. We're already, I think, in a cold civil war. [117], On June 1, 2020, Trump ordered the use of tear gas against nonviolent protesters in Lafayette Square for a photo op at St. John's Episcopal Church. They are crazy. Well, let's look at where we are." Barbara F. Walter is a member of the task force who has spent 30 years studying civil wars around the world. Some historians have interpreted the Coal Wars as constituting some form of a Second American Civil War and they also consider it to be the largest national revolt since the first Civil War ended. Magazines, reevaluating their lives, jobs and careers, The Select Committee on the Modernization of Congress, Or create a free account to access more articles, Half the U.S. In a deeply divided society, where even a national tragedy such as 6 January only pushed people further apart, there is fear that that day was the just the beginning of a wave of unrest, conflict and domestic terrorism. I have spent the last 25 years studying how citizens in deeply divided societies like ours escape toxic divisions and chart a better course. It also calls for secession", "Why neither Trump nor Stacey Abrams have conceded", "Why Stacey Abrams is still saying she won", "Opinion | The Questions We Must Be Asking About a Second American Civil War", "Dalio Says U.S. in Decline as China Rises, Warns of Election Risk", "Why Hedge Fund Giant Ray Dalio Is Worried About China, Inflation, and a U.S. 'Civil War', "Opinion: The American polity is cracked, and might collapse. Countries with proportional representation and parliamentary systems promote coalitions and cooperation among rivals. All of this is kindling for the precarious position we now find ourselves in.. A Red Revolution and failed elections in 1936 lead to widespread and violent riots. The civil war should have appeared during 1937/38 might be a glitch Ropobo 5 yr. ago The entente declared war on me at the start of 1942 and I capitulated Canada so I've given up on the save. The academic explained: The groups that tend to start civil wars are the groups that were once dominant politically but are in decline. [458], Research from the University of California and the California Violence Research Center demonstrated that half of Americans "at least somewhat agree that a civil war will happen soon." Across the continent, former brothers clash in the Second American Civil War. [52], White supremacy terrorist groups emerged in the South to oppose Reconstruction, including the foundation of the Ku Klux Klan, the White League, and the Knights of the White Camelia, which consisted primarily of Confederate veterans. The year is 1940. Journalist Malcom Kyeyune summarizes the political climate by stating: "Talk of insurrection, secession, civil conflict and civil war is no longer the chatter of the gullible and the mentally ill. [367][368][369] The official Arizona Republican Party Twitter account went further, encouraging Republican voters to prepare to "fight," and asking them if they were ready to "die for something. Not so. Gretchen Whitmer", "Explainer: Who are Antifa, the 'boogaloo' movement and others blamed in U.S. protest violence? Both books provide a sobering vision of where we may be headed, and for that reason they should be required reading for anyone invested in preserving our 246-year experiment in self-government. And sometimes Chinas strategy beats Americas. Greene stated that she was not a "violent person," preferring a secession instead of open civil war. It would probably be more decentralized than Northern Ireland because we have such a large country and there are so many militias all around the country., They would turn to unconventional tactics, in particular terrorism, maybe even a little bit of guerrilla warfare, where they would target federal buildings, synagogues, places with large crowds. While he does not currently foresee political violence becoming endemic, Jacobs agrees that any such unravelling would also be most likely to resemble Northern Irelands Troubles. Up to 100 people were killed, and many more arrested. Hanson also claimed that Obama's conduct fueled racialism by stoking a "white-versus-nonwhite binary." However, you can also get a type 2 civil war with Garner and Olson, but they also have other options. The strategy would be one of intimidation and to scare the American public into believing that the federal government isnt capable of taking care of them.. You can also get a type 1 civil war as a moderate with very specific paths, but it's just simpler to elect a radical. His time traveling and working in the south of the US inspired him to come up with stories set in a Second American Civil War. What should you construct before the civil war? When that comes, arrange the Philadelphia Conference. [56][57] Retired Marine Corps Major General Smedley Butler asserted that wealthy businessmen were plotting to create a fascist veterans' organization with Butler as its leader and use it in a coup d'tat to overthrow Roosevelt. [89][90][91][92][93][94], Other critics claim that the term "second civil war" is being used inappropriately when it is being used to describe the potential rise of political violence that does not meet the academic definition of a civil war. In February 2022, the Department of Justice arrested three white supremacists for an alleged plot to attack the power grid in three sections of the country with the intent to trigger civil war along racial lines. These people have lost their minds. A left-wing Syndicalist revolution has collapsed Federal authority. [151] When Trump's legal efforts to overturn the election results failed, he held a "Save America" rally in Washington, D.C., which brought thousands of his supporters to The Ellipse park on January 6, 2021, during the time the election results were being certified by Congress. told a crowd of Trump supporters at an "America First" rally that "we have a Second Amendment in this country and I think we have an obligation to use it it's about maintaining within the citizenry the ability to maintain an armed rebellion against the government if that becomes necessary." "[405][406][404] The propose budget would establish DeSantis as a "Adjutant General," with plans to expand the budget. "[106], David Blight, a Yale historian, also states that the "shock of events" from recent polarization "dates to Obama's election [in 2008]." But if sectarianism continues, more violence is inevitable. "[404], Originally budgeted at $3.5 million in DeSantis' "Freedom First" proposed budget, the Florida State Senate later proposed $10 million to train 400 initial civilians to response to state disasters without being "encumbered by the federal government. Neither the escalation to sectarianism nor the rise of more authoritarian national executives would have been possible without a severely damaged information space. Put one factory on artillery, and all the rest on infantry equipment. Sometime after that you will get their second and last offer. You get the CSA's states, but the AUS gains extra states too, without any way to prevent it. [398][399][400] DeSantis declared: "I cant have Castro to my south and Abrams to my north, that would be a disaster. If you have no regard for the lives of your fellow Americans, you can use your large tactical bomber arsenal to bomb enemy industry to pieces. What can I do to reduce the heat? Hopefully you know what you are doing. [220][221][222] Trump himself took to Truth Social to decry the investigation as a form of political persecution, making unfounded claims of evidence planting then later claiming the documents in question were declassified. In the Shipyard Funding Scheme, you choose between NEW YORK CITY + NEW JERSEY and SOUTHERN TEXAS + TRANS-PECOS (Corpus Christi). Im just saying what my opinion is. You will also be able to recruit voluenteers from different states using the decisions tab. Asked if he felt his comment might incite people to violence, Trump responded: "Thats not inciting. Walters otherwise harrowing book stumbles when describing how greater violence might erupt, focusing on fringe groups over likelier flash points. The poll also found that a third of young Americans anticipated a Second American Civil War within their lifetime. "[459] The first prediction came in 2010 when Turchin cited stagnating or declining wages, income inequality, overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees, and exploding public debt as predictors of civil war. A Red revolution has swept the Great Lakes area, collapsing federal authority and unleashing a Second American Civil War. After all the factions have popped up, MacArthur will give a 30-day deadline to all the rebels to surrender or else. After the CSA is done, focus on the AUS and the PSA. You can favor either side or make a compromise. No one will surrender, don't be a fool. The latest news, analysis, and data from the country each week. Your guide to the most important world stories of the day. Other critics claim the term "civil war" is being misused. Discussion of a possible second civil war entered the mainstream in earnest as a result of the polarizing effect of the 2016 election of Donald Trump. This will guarantee a type 1 civil war. Congress will just barely pass it, and congratulations, everybody is now happy and all is well! It works suprisingly well, and it sure is satisfying to conquer a state and see 90% of the factories being out of order. Researchers said the conclusions were consistent with two years of polling, stating: "the motivating premises for this survey were that current conditions in the US create both perceived threats and actual threats to its future as a free and democratic society. It is hard not to see echoes of this dynamic at play as Republicans condemn other Republicans over their loyalty (or lack thereof) to former U.S. President Donald Trump. On the taskforce, if we were to see that in another multiethnic, multi-religious country which is based on a two-party system, this is what we would call a super faction, and a super faction is particularly dangerous., Not even the gloomiest pessimist is predicting a rerun of the 1861-65 civil war with a blue army and red army fighting pitched battles. We must fight it | David Blight, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning, 2023 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. [179] The decision resulted in public celebration among conservatives, mass protests across the US, and condemnation from world leaders who characterized the decision as "appalling," "horrific," and "one of the darkest days for women's rights. [103] Obama appeared just before midnight Eastern Time in Grant Park, Chicago, in front of a crowd of 250,000 people to deliver his victory speech. [380], Later in August, Congressman Madison Cawthorn (R-N.C.), drawing on claims that the 2020 United States presidential election had been stolen by Democrats, stated that "if our election systems continue to be rigged and continue to be stolen, it's gonna lead to one place, and it's bloodshed. What do I hope to see happen? ", "Civil war in the US is unlikely because grievance doesn't necessarily translate directly into violence", "We Are In a New Civil War About What Exactly? ), the commander of the Oklahoma National Guard. Download the new FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. Delivered Thursday. Walter suggests that opposition figures, moderate Republicans and judges deemed unsympathetic might all become potential assassination targets. Her new book, How Civil Wars Start, explains that studies have identified three factors that predict which countries are most likely to descend into civil conflict. Some of them have claimed that the discussion about a civil war is an intentional conspiracy which is designed to instill fear and help the federal government justify its suspension of the American people's civil rights. "[443][444] Researchers also concluded that belief in the Great Replacement and QAnon conspiracy theories were fueling much of the insurrectionist movement, and extrapolated that approximately 21 million Americans are prepared for violent conflict with the federal government. Either Gingrich got everything he wanted or he refused to play. And it is fair to remember that the Loyalists had been driven from their homes, that their property had been confiscated, and that they and their families had been subjected to persecution. What you need to do is to ask him to negotiate further. [471], Walter concludes that "every year we don't reform our democracy and make it stronger every year that we have one of our two major parties appealing to only one segment of our society: the white Christian population, [and] every year that those two factors continue to exist, our risk [of civil war] increases. "[490], Writing in socialist magazine Jacobin, journalist Ryan Zickgraf was critical of Marche and Walter for stoking civil war anxiety, which he claimed "isn't just overblown it's also politically useless," stating: "Ultimately, we don't need the threat of a civil war to stay vigilant. "[95][92][94] Some conservative critics have also claimed that the left is stoking fear to justify censorship and "criminalize dissent."[81]. The universe is based on the world of Kaiserreich, the worlds largest fan-built alt-history universe. Biden will be President, but these people are deadly serious about secession and sedition. Yet Trumps supporters argue that they are the ones fighting to save democracy. Former Secretary of Labor Robert Reich has argued that deep state theories could serve as an ideological justification for an insurgency supported by the U.S. Armed Forces. ", "The Supreme Court Could Foster a New Kind of Civil War", "Analysis | The Supreme Court turns the U.S. into a cautionary tale", "There's another War Between the States coming over abortion", "US supreme court justices on abortion what they've said and how they've voted", "Ocasio-Cortez wants two justices impeached for 'lying under oath. "[317] He added after the election that Trump's actions created a "cultural civil war such as we've never seen since 1860 to 1865. Illustrating the point, almost no Republicans attended the commemorations as the party seeks to rewrite history, recasting the mob who tried to overturn Trumps election defeat as martyrs fighting for democracy. The austerity bill will pass with Long's support, and the SPA will walk out. [59][60]:224 When the committee's final report was released, the Times said the committee "purported to report that a two-month investigation had convinced it that General Butler's story of a Fascist march on Washington was alarmingly true" and " also alleged that definite proof had been found that the much publicized Fascist march on Washington, which was to have been led by Major Gen. Smedley D. Butler, retired, according to testimony at a hearing, was actually contemplated". Marche interviewed military officials, law enforcement, food supply experts, historians and political scientists to make more than educated guesses about a potential upheaval. She claims that Trump's "fight [is] expressly about [his] group's position and his status in society," which he perceives as being threatened by out-groups. Its akin to how some religions treat apostates and infidels. It really does unnerve me." "[70], Several journalists have also warned that a civil war is possible in the coming decade. [349] Though the movement never legitimized in the mainstream, historian Richard Stringer called the level of talk of secession in the aftermath of Trump's election "unprecedented" in American politics. ", "Minority rule reaches full bloom in USA - Las Vegas Sun Newspaper", "It's time to say it: the US supreme court has become an illegitimate institution | Jill Filipovic", "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says 'we are witnessing a judicial coup' with the Supreme Court taking up a case that could reshape US election law", "Ongoing Threats Against Supreme Court Are a 'Slow Motion Coup D'Etat', "Rage, despair, tears fill streets across nation as thousands protest Roe reversal", "World leaders condemn US abortion ruling as 'backwards step', "US allies express dismay at 'appalling' Supreme Court decision to scrap abortion rights", "Exclusive: Supreme Court has voted to overturn abortion rights, draft opinion shows", "What abortion access would look like if Roe v. Wade is overturned", "Sen. Mitch McConnell said a national abortion ban would be 'possible' if Roe v. Wade is overturned", "California looks to enshrine abortion rights in state constitution", "New York Moves to Enshrine Abortion Rights in State Constitution", "Abortion would remain legal in Vermont if Roe v. Wade is overturned", "Missouri wants to stop out-of-state abortions. This is possibly also the easiest civil war as the Feds. "[422], During his inauguration, President Joe Biden called on the country to end the "uncivil war that pits red against blue, rural versus urban, conservative versus liberal," referring to the high polarization of American politics. [414], Republican Senator Mitt Romney, an outspoken critic of Trump, wrote an op-ed in The Atlantic on July 4, 2022 (Independence Day) warning Americans of "cataclysmic" outcomes based on poor political leadership in both political parties, and denialism of emerging problems such as national debt, climate change and illegal immigration. Attempts to unionize were met with police crackdowns, resulting in several revolts and even resulting in armed battles throughout the United States. The information space has been further compromised by powerful foreign adversaries and omnipresent tech companies. Go get 'em! Luttig stated: "Serious thinkers about the American experiment, who are not given to apocalyptic prophesying, question whether America is on the verge of a literal civil war."[416]. This gives power to the radicals and has major effects on stability and party popularity. Hosted by Tina Gerhusser, the guests were Emilia Roig[de] (French political scientist, founder of the Center for Intersectional Justice in Berlin[492]), Josef Braml[de] (political scientist, USA expert), and Nicole Renvert (analyst, non-resident fellow at the American Institute for Contemporary German Studies[493]). If you want it to be even easier, you should break up the coalition and elect Alf Landon. Idiots! Its been a minority party nationally and in many so-called red states for more than two decades, but its representation in Congress and the White House has stayed at around over 50 percent. Explore the benefits included in your subscription. As president, you can either sign the act or veto it, preventing it from passing. [102] Others suggest a second civil war could break out within the military, resulting in a conflict much larger in scope that could be "catastrophic," leading to a collapse of the U.S. political system. Such divisions are often perpetuated by feedback loops between our neurological, psychological, relational, informational, political, cultural, and economic structures. Choose this if you want to role play. Provide an opening. However, compromise also gives power to the rebellious radicals. The project includes film, motion comic and audio book projects telling stories from the Second American Civil War. What Utah Republicans, Democrats say about abortion ruling", "Roe v. Wade has been overturned. Former House Representative Steve King (R-Iowa), for instance, posted a much-criticized Internet meme on March 19, 2019, reading: "Folks keep talking about another civil war. [10][11] General Anderson later went on CNN to say that the threat of civil war lies within the U.S. military, not necessarily in its citizens, claiming "[some service members] think the president is something like a king" and are willing to defy the Constitution to follow "people like Trump", adding that such individuals should be identified, removed from service, and replaced by members who are loyal to Constitutional order. [246] Another individual drove his car into a barricade outside the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., fired shots in the air, then committed suicide as police approached him, though motive was unclear. Yet as both books make clear, even the worst-case scenario isnt civil war in the 1860s sense. Many people have that fear. If you don't trust your skills, pick this one. [197] The ruling in context of these public statements fed into the political firestorm, with some Democratic leaders demanding that the justices be impeached for perjury. [344][345] Claire Finkelstein, a professor of law and philosophy and the founder of the Center for Ethics and the Rule of Law at the University of Pennsylvania, believes that we "may be on the brink of mass violence" which could be triggered by a Trump arrest, but she adds that prosecuting Trump is "the right thing to do" even if it starts a civil war. This assumes a type 1 or 2 civil war. Remember that there are few factories in the west. Please read the, Division among colonists during the Revolutionary War, "War of Terror" during the Reconstruction Era, Debate about the outbreak of a possible Second Civil War (2008present), Election and presidency of Donald Trump (20162020), COVID-19 pandemic and response to health mandates, George Floyd protests and race relations during Trump administration, Trump's refusal to concede the 2020 election, The 2021 U.S. Capitol attack and calls for civil war by Trump supporters, United States House Select Committee on the January 6 Attack, Investigation into Trump's mishandling of Top Secret Documents (2022), Lone wolf attempts to trigger a civil war, Militia movement and attempts to trigger civil war, Discussion about a civil war at Trump rallies, Claims that the United States is already engaged in a Cold Civil War (2020present), Remarks about a Second Civil War by government officials, The general public's perception that a Second Civil War could erupt in the near future, Criticism of discussion about a "Second Civil War", As a form of fearmongering which is intended to demonize conservatives, The misuse of the term "Second Civil War".
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